Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.058261 0.068106 0.079076 0.092202 0.107479 0.124701 0.145590
2025-09-28 0.041481 0.053851 0.069101 0.089275 0.115259 0.147605 0.190956
2025-10-05 0.033626 0.047292 0.065492 0.091478 0.127625 0.176141 0.246266
2025-10-12 0.027954 0.041993 0.061913 0.092200 0.137072 0.201125 0.299609
2025-10-19 0.023744 0.037763 0.058776 0.092504 0.145272 0.224700 0.353501
2025-10-26 0.020783 0.034780 0.056812 0.093927 0.154877 0.251052 0.414561
2025-11-02 0.018708 0.032794 0.055974 0.096778 0.166801 0.282124 0.486775
2025-11-09 0.015942 0.029183 0.051896 0.093553 0.168032 0.295681 0.531427
2025-11-16 0.014123 0.026918 0.049733 0.093205 0.173953 0.317567 0.592816
2025-11-23 0.012515 0.024781 0.047467 0.092280 0.178568 0.337484 0.652879
2025-11-30 0.011488 0.023584 0.046735 0.094050 0.188296 0.367657 0.735509
2025-12-07 0.010280 0.021846 0.044728 0.093042 0.192458 0.387699 0.800912
2025-12-14 0.009060 0.019934 0.042171 0.090684 0.193808 0.402804 0.859256
2025-12-21 0.007956 0.018107 0.039550 0.087843 0.193805 0.415229 0.913850
2025-12-28 0.007427 0.017457 0.039303 0.090019 0.204694 0.451387 1.023270
2026-01-04 0.006838 0.016583 0.038452 0.090730 0.212435 0.481716 1.123737
2026-01-11 0.006285 0.015711 0.037483 0.091030 0.219254 0.510778 1.224959
2026-01-18 0.005864 0.015095 0.037016 0.092431 0.228787 0.547026 1.347317
2026-01-25 0.005568 0.014744 0.037130 0.095237 0.242018 0.593350 1.499413
2026-02-01 0.004962 0.013514 0.034946 0.092062 0.240160 0.603662 1.564912
2026-02-08 0.004571 0.012791 0.033931 0.091720 0.245374 0.631743 1.678392
2026-02-15 0.004191 0.012045 0.032760 0.090809 0.248996 0.656262 1.785795
2026-02-22 0.003967 0.011699 0.032590 0.092552 0.259858 0.700485 1.950508